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FireFolioMake room for your future.

THE HUMAN SIDE OF THE NUMBERS

Different lives.
Room for your story.

Meet four fictional investors. Follow their choices through real market history, including the years when life got in the way.

Fictional personas · Historical simulations · Not member testimonials

Find a path that feels familiar.

Income and life events are fictional context, in each story’s starting-year dollars. Household and individual incomes are different measures; these are not affordability recommendations or a ranking.

ALEX’S STORY / 2010–2024

An uneven income. A flexible approach.

A freelancer adjusts contributions through busy years, an income interruption, and a gradual restart.

$5,000 initial investment80% S&P 500 / 20% 10-year TreasuriesAnnually rebalanced

THE LONG VIEW

$255,314simulated balance at the end of 2024

Dollars at each point in time, without adjusting for inflation.

$0$143K$286KStart 2010End 2024
Portfolio balanceCumulative contributions
You put in$105,800Includes the initial investment
Investment growth$149,514Before taxes and fees

Monthly savings are modeled as one deposit at each year’s end. Lines connect annual observations; they do not show the path within a year.

LIFE HAPPENS. THE PLAN EVOLVES.

The choices along the way.

2010–2014$400 / month

Build a base

The scenario starts with $5,000 invested and $400 a month saved.

2015–2019$800 / month

Use the stronger years

Monthly contributions rise to $800 during a fictional run of stronger income.

2020$0 / month

An income interruption

New contributions stop for the year. Investments stay invested; emergency savings are outside this model.

2021–2024$600 / month

Restart at a workable level

Contributions return at $600 per month, below the earlier peak.

THE HARD PART BELONGS IN THE STORY

It wasn’t a straight line.

Annual returns conceal the market’s path within 2020. This chart cannot show the full volatility someone would have experienced.

-18.0%Worst calendar-year return · 2022
-18.0%Largest year-end drawdownReturn-only index, excluding deposits. Intrayear losses may be larger.

A SMALL WHAT-IF

What if contributions hadn’t paused?

Continue the last pre-pause contribution during the 2020 pause. All other assumptions stay the same.

BRING IT BACK TO YOUR LIFE

A familiar story. Your own numbers.

Flexibility can mean changing the contribution rather than abandoning the plan. The comparison shows the effect of the missed deposits.

Try this with my numbers

Opens an editable planning template with zero starting savings, an example spending budget, and this story’s final monthly contribution. Historical balances and returns are not carried into your plan.

A related field note: After the earnings surprise: what market drift means for FIRE.

Explore the annual numbers

Nominal dollars. Contributions include the initial investment. Return percentages are nominal, before deposits.

Alex’s simulated annual portfolio values
YearPortfolio returnTotal contributedBalanceGrowth
201013.55%$9,800$10,477$677
20114.89%$14,600$15,790$1,190
201213.31%$19,400$22,690$3,290
201323.90%$24,200$32,914$8,714
201412.97%$29,000$41,981$12,981
20151.36%$38,600$52,152$13,552
20169.55%$48,200$66,735$18,535
201717.85%$57,800$88,245$30,445
2018-3.39%$67,400$94,856$27,456
201926.90%$77,000$129,968$52,968
202016.68%$77,000$151,649$74,649
202121.89%$84,200$192,048$107,848
2022-18.00%$91,400$164,684$73,284
202321.62%$98,600$207,495$108,895
202419.58%$105,800$255,314$149,514
Real history. Transparent assumptions.

Where the numbers come from

Annual S&P 500 returns including dividends and 10-year US Treasury total returns come from Aswath Damodaran at NYU Stern. Annual-average CPI-U comes from the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.

This edition uses a fixed 2000–2024 dataset, retrieved September 20, 2026. Each story uses the years shown on its card. This is a retrospective, not a live performance feed.

How to read these stories

People, incomes, ages, and life events are fictional. Allocations are reset to their stated weights each year. Annual savings are deposited after that year’s return; the starting balance is invested before the first year’s return. No taxes, fees, transaction costs, or withdrawals are modeled.

Purchasing-power values use each story’s first-year annual-average CPI as the base. Contributions are adjusted separately by deposit year. These examples were selected to illustrate different saving habits, not representative outcomes or verified community success. Historical returns do not predict future returns.